Real Madrid — Villarreal

La Liga · Spain

Real Madrid

1:0

Villarreal

Real Madrid

Match events

Legend

Villarreal

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 08 Oct 2026, 22:31 UTC

xG-based expectationNo clear favouriteNo pick

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✕ Did not match

90-minute result: 1:0 · Total: 1

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 12 Feb 2022 — 24 Jan 2026

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.51.25 1xBet · pre-match✕ Did not match

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yes1.44 1xBet · pre-match✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: 08 Oct 2026 21:17 UTC.

Pre-match data and calculation

Real Madrid

3W0D2L5 recent matches

Goals2.40per match

Conceded1.20per match

xG2.555 matches

xGA1.21per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Villarreal

2W0D3L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG2.595 matches

xGA1.28per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Real Madrid over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Villarreal over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Real Madrid 1.34, Villarreal 1.31. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Villarreal: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.