Malaga — Real Sociedad

La Liga · Spain

Malaga

2:5

Real Sociedad

Malaga

Match events

Legend

Real Sociedad

0′

45′

90′

No events yet

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Prediction review

Malaga vs Real Sociedad: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 18 Oct 2026, 13:10 UTC

xG-based expectation2 · Real Sociedad✓ Matched

Goals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick

90-minute result: 2:5 · Total: 7

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 17 Feb 2014 — 07 Jan 2024

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.52.10 1xBet · pre-match✕ Did not match

6/10

In 6 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least one team did not score.

Both teams to score — no2.18 1xBet · pre-match✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: 08 Oct 2026 21:17 UTC.

Pre-match data and calculation

Malaga

0W3D2L5 recent matches

Goals0.60per match

Conceded1.20per match

xG0.725 matches

xGA1.91per match

Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5

Real Sociedad

3W1D1L5 recent matches

Goals1.80per match

Conceded1.80per match

xG1.115 matches

xGA1.76per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Malaga over the last 5: 0W, 3D, 2L · 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Real Sociedad over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Real Sociedad has the stronger xG balance (-0.65 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Malaga: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; Real Sociedad: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.