At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: .
Pre-match data and calculation
Real Madrid
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG2.315 matches
xGA1.17per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Sevilla
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.255 matches
xGA1.42per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Real Madrid over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Sevilla over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Real Madrid has the stronger xG balance (1.14 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Sevilla: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.