Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.
Saved before kickoff ·
xG-based expectation1 · Alaves✕ Did not matchGoals-total expectationNo shared trendNo pick
90-minute result: 1:1 · Total: 2
Pre-match data and calculation
Alaves
0W1D4L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.055 matches
xGA1.38per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Malaga
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG0.815 matches
xGA2.26per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Alaves over the last 5: 0W, 1D, 4L · 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Malaga over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Alaves has the stronger xG balance (-0.32 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Alaves: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Malaga: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.