Barcelona — Real Madrid

La Liga · Spain

Barcelona

1:2

Real Madrid

Barcelona

Match events

Legend

Real Madrid

0′

45′

90′

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Prediction review

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 25 Oct 2026, 17:41 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · Barcelona✕ Did not match

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✓ Matched

90-minute result: 1:2 · Total: 3

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 14 Jan 2024 — 10 May 2026

9/10

In 9 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least 3 goals were scored.

Over 2.5Odds unavailable✓ Matched

8/10

In 8 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, both teams scored.

Both teams to score — yesOdds unavailable✓ Matched

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

Barcelona

5W0D0L5 recent matches

Goals4.40per match

Conceded1.40per match

xG3.945 matches

xGA1.21per match

Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5

Real Madrid

4W0D1L5 recent matches

Goals2.60per match

Conceded1.20per match

xG2.045 matches

xGA1.25per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

Barcelona over the last 5: 5W, 0D, 0L · 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Real Madrid over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Barcelona has the stronger xG balance (2.73 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Barcelona: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5; Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.