At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: .
Pre-match data and calculation
Athletic Club
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.365 matches
xGA1.06per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Real Sociedad
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.60per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.895 matches
xGA1.72per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Match prediction and stats
Athletic Club over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Real Sociedad over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Athletic Club 0.29, Real Sociedad 0.17. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Athletic Club: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Real Sociedad: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.