At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Sevilla
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.405 matches
xGA1.73per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Malaga
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG0.895 matches
xGA2.24per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Sevilla over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Malaga over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Sevilla has the stronger xG balance (-0.33 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Sevilla: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Malaga: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.