At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Villarreal
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG2.575 matches
xGA0.82per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Rayo Vallecano
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.595 matches
xGA1.60per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Villarreal over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Rayo Vallecano over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Villarreal has the stronger xG balance (1.75 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Villarreal: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Rayo Vallecano: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.