At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Malaga
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG0.895 matches
xGA2.24per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Alaves
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.025 matches
xGA1.14per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Malaga over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Alaves over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Alaves has the stronger xG balance (-0.12 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Malaga: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Alaves: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.