At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Rayo Vallecano
1W2D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.595 matches
xGA1.60per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Real Madrid
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.915 matches
xGA1.34per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Rayo Vallecano over the last 5: 1W, 2D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Real Madrid over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Real Madrid has the stronger xG balance (0.57 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Rayo Vallecano: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.