At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Real Madrid
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.915 matches
xGA1.34per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Athletic Club
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.365 matches
xGA1.06per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Real Madrid over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Athletic Club over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Real Madrid has the stronger xG balance (0.57 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Athletic Club: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.