At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Villarreal
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.855 matches
xGA0.86per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Real Madrid
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.915 matches
xGA1.34per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Villarreal over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Real Madrid over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Villarreal has the stronger xG balance (0.99 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Villarreal: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Real Madrid: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.