At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Rayo Vallecano
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.625 matches
xGA1.31per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Real Sociedad
4W0D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.60per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.895 matches
xGA1.72per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Match prediction and stats
Rayo Vallecano over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Real Sociedad over the last 5: 4W, 0D, 1L · 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Rayo Vallecano 0.32, Real Sociedad 0.17. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Rayo Vallecano: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Real Sociedad: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.