At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Villarreal
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.855 matches
xGA0.86per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Atletico Madrid
5W0D0L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded0.40per match
xG1.895 matches
xGA1.12per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Match prediction and stats
Villarreal over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Atletico Madrid over the last 5: 5W, 0D, 0L · 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded per match.
Villarreal has the stronger xG balance (0.99 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Villarreal: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Atletico Madrid: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5. Under 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.