At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Athletic Club
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded0.80per match
xG1.365 matches
xGA1.06per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Rayo Vallecano
2W2D1L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG1.625 matches
xGA1.31per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Athletic Club over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded per match.
Rayo Vallecano over the last 5: 2W, 2D, 1L · 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Athletic Club 0.29, Rayo Vallecano 0.32. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Athletic Club: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Rayo Vallecano: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.