At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Espanyol
1W1D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG0.815 matches
xGA1.43per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
Alaves
0W2D3L5 recent matches
Goals0.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.035 matches
xGA1.82per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Espanyol over the last 5: 1W, 1D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
Alaves over the last 5: 0W, 2D, 3L · 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Espanyol -0.63, Alaves -0.79. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Espanyol: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; Alaves: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.