At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff. Odds updated: .
Pre-match data and calculation
Hamburger SV
1W0D3L4 recent matches
Goals0.50per match
Conceded3.25per match
xG1.074 matches
xGA2.22per match
Over 2.53/4Under 2.51/4
VfB Stuttgart
1W0D3L4 recent matches
Goals1.50per match
Conceded2.25per match
xG1.774 matches
xGA2.95per match
Over 2.53/4Under 2.51/4
Match prediction and stats
Hamburger SV over the last 4: 1W, 0D, 3L · 0.50 scored and 3.25 conceded per match.
VfB Stuttgart over the last 4: 1W, 0D, 3L · 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Hamburger SV -1.15, VfB Stuttgart -1.18. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Hamburger SV: over 2.5 in 3/4, under 2.5 in 1/4; VfB Stuttgart: over 2.5 in 3/4, under 2.5 in 1/4. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.