At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
1899 Hoffenheim
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.80per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.745 matches
xGA1.56per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Bayer Leverkusen
4W1D0L5 recent matches
Goals2.80per match
Conceded1.20per match
xG2.495 matches
xGA1.16per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
1899 Hoffenheim over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Bayer Leverkusen over the last 5: 4W, 1D, 0L · 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded per match.
Bayer Leverkusen has the stronger xG balance (1.33 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): 1899 Hoffenheim: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5; Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.