FSV Mainz 05 — Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · Germany

FSV Mainz 05

2:3

Werder Bremen

FSV Mainz 05

Match events

Legend

Werder Bremen

0′

45′

90′

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Prediction review

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: prediction and match stats

Statistical prediction based on recent results, goals, xG and xGA.

Saved before kickoff · 22 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC

xG-based expectation1 · FSV Mainz 05✕ Did not match

Goals-total expectationOver 2.5✓ Matched

90-minute result: 2:3 · Total: 5

Head-to-head trends

Latest available head-to-head meetings: 10 · 19 Dec 2020 — 15 Mar 2026

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, no more than 2 goals were scored.

Under 2.5Odds unavailable✕ Did not match

7/10

In 7 of the 10 available recent head-to-head matches, at least one team did not score.

Both teams to score — noOdds unavailable✕ Did not match

Included meetings

At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.

Pre-match data and calculation

FSV Mainz 05

3W0D2L5 recent matches

Goals2.80per match

Conceded2.00per match

xG2.415 matches

xGA1.60per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Werder Bremen

2W3D0L5 recent matches

Goals2.20per match

Conceded1.60per match

xG1.585 matches

xGA1.58per match

Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5

Match prediction and stats

FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Werder Bremen over the last 5: 2W, 3D, 0L · 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger xG balance (0.81 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Werder Bremen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.