At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
RB Leipzig
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals3.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG2.375 matches
xGA2.26per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.80per match
xG2.205 matches
xGA1.98per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
RB Leipzig over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: RB Leipzig 0.11, FSV Mainz 05 0.22. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): RB Leipzig: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.