At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.60per match
xG2.235 matches
xGA2.16per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
SC Freiburg
2W1D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG1.845 matches
xGA1.52per match
Over 2.55/5Under 2.50/5
Match prediction and stats
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded per match.
SC Freiburg over the last 5: 2W, 1D, 2L · 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
SC Freiburg has the stronger xG balance (0.32 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; SC Freiburg: over 2.5 in 5/5, under 2.5 in 0/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.