At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Hamburger SV
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.20per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.355 matches
xGA1.90per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Bayer Leverkusen
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.855 matches
xGA2.11per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Hamburger SV over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
Bayer Leverkusen over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Bayer Leverkusen has the stronger xG balance (-0.26 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Hamburger SV: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5; Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.