At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
VfB Stuttgart
1W0D4L5 recent matches
Goals1.00per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG2.015 matches
xGA2.25per match
Over 2.52/5Under 2.53/5
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.60per match
xG2.235 matches
xGA2.16per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
VfB Stuttgart over the last 5: 1W, 0D, 4L · 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger xG balance (0.08 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): VfB Stuttgart: over 2.5 in 2/5, under 2.5 in 3/5; FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.