At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
RB Leipzig
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals3.20per match
Conceded1.60per match
xG2.375 matches
xGA2.26per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Bayer Leverkusen
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.955 matches
xGA1.72per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
RB Leipzig over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded per match.
Bayer Leverkusen over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: RB Leipzig 0.11, Bayer Leverkusen 0.23. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): RB Leipzig: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.