At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Bayer Leverkusen
3W1D1L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.955 matches
xGA1.72per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.60per match
xG2.235 matches
xGA2.16per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Bayer Leverkusen over the last 5: 3W, 1D, 1L · 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Bayer Leverkusen 0.23, FSV Mainz 05 0.08. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.