At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Union Berlin
1W3D1L5 recent matches
Goals0.60per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG0.865 matches
xGA1.78per match
Over 2.51/5Under 2.54/5
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.80per match
xG2.205 matches
xGA1.98per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
Union Berlin over the last 5: 1W, 3D, 1L · 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger xG balance (0.22 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Union Berlin: over 2.5 in 1/5, under 2.5 in 4/5; FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. The sample does not show a common totals trend.