At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Bayer Leverkusen
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals2.00per match
Conceded2.20per match
xG1.855 matches
xGA2.11per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Hamburger SV
3W0D2L5 recent matches
Goals1.40per match
Conceded1.40per match
xG1.435 matches
xGA1.88per match
Over 2.53/5Under 2.52/5
Match prediction and stats
Bayer Leverkusen over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded per match.
Hamburger SV over the last 5: 3W, 0D, 2L · 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
The xG balance is close: Bayer Leverkusen -0.26, Hamburger SV -0.45. No clear edge in the current sample.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; Hamburger SV: over 2.5 in 3/5, under 2.5 in 2/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.