At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
1899 Hoffenheim
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals1.60per match
Conceded1.80per match
xG1.835 matches
xGA1.06per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
FSV Mainz 05
2W0D3L5 recent matches
Goals2.20per match
Conceded2.80per match
xG2.205 matches
xGA1.98per match
Over 2.54/5Under 2.51/5
Match prediction and stats
1899 Hoffenheim over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded per match.
FSV Mainz 05 over the last 5: 2W, 0D, 3L · 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded per match.
1899 Hoffenheim has the stronger xG balance (0.77 per match), based only on the available recent games.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): 1899 Hoffenheim: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5; FSV Mainz 05: over 2.5 in 4/5, under 2.5 in 1/5. Over 2.5 was more frequent for both teams.