At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Liverpool
3W0D1L4 recent matches
Goals3.50per match
Conceded2.50per match
xG1.621 matches
xGA0.91per match
Over 2.54/4Under 2.50/4
FC Porto
1W0D3L4 recent matches
Goals1.50per match
Conceded1.75per match
xG0.281 matches
xGA2.32per match
Over 2.52/4Under 2.52/4
Match prediction and stats
Liverpool over the last 4: 3W, 0D, 1L · 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded per match.
FC Porto over the last 4: 1W, 0D, 3L · 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded per match.
Available xG balance: Liverpool 0.71, FC Porto -2.04. At least three xG matches per team are needed for an xG-based pick.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Liverpool: over 2.5 in 4/4, under 2.5 in 0/4; FC Porto: over 2.5 in 2/4, under 2.5 in 2/4. The sample does not show a common totals trend.