At least 3 and at most 10 confirmed head-to-head matches from the available archive. Historical frequency is not the probability of the next result. Scores use 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The calculation and available odds were frozen before kickoff.
Pre-match data and calculation
Liverpool
2W0D0L2 recent matches
Goals4.00per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.621 matches
xGA0.91per match
Over 2.52/2Under 2.50/2
Villarreal
1W0D1L2 recent matches
Goals2.50per match
Conceded2.00per match
xG1.341 matches
xGA2.83per match
Over 2.52/2Under 2.50/2
Match prediction and stats
Liverpool over the last 2: 2W, 0D, 0L · 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Villarreal over the last 2: 1W, 0D, 1L · 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded per match.
Available xG balance: Liverpool 0.71, Villarreal -1.49. At least three xG matches per team are needed for an xG-based pick.
Goals total in recent matches (each team's games, not head-to-head): Liverpool: over 2.5 in 2/2, under 2.5 in 0/2; Villarreal: over 2.5 in 2/2, under 2.5 in 0/2. The sample does not show a common totals trend.